Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003683 0.004024 0.004389 0.004809 0.005282 0.005798 0.006406
2025-11-09 0.003112 0.003591 0.004140 0.004820 0.005648 0.006631 0.007897
2025-11-16 0.002749 0.003286 0.003930 0.004770 0.005848 0.007205 0.009074
2025-11-23 0.002466 0.003028 0.003727 0.004673 0.005942 0.007618 0.010056
2025-11-30 0.002303 0.002896 0.003656 0.004722 0.006210 0.008265 0.011415
2025-12-07 0.002205 0.002833 0.003662 0.004863 0.006605 0.009117 0.013171
2025-12-14 0.002052 0.002683 0.003534 0.004800 0.006693 0.009523 0.014295
2025-12-21 0.001908 0.002533 0.003392 0.004699 0.006709 0.009813 0.015258
2025-12-28 0.001798 0.002420 0.003293 0.004650 0.006793 0.010209 0.016444
2026-01-04 0.001723 0.002352 0.003251 0.004680 0.006999 0.010817 0.018082
2026-01-11 0.001631 0.002253 0.003156 0.004618 0.007047 0.011161 0.019280
2026-01-18 0.001554 0.002171 0.003080 0.004580 0.007128 0.011566 0.020651
2026-01-25 0.001471 0.002078 0.002986 0.004513 0.007166 0.011923 0.022040
2026-02-01 0.001412 0.002018 0.002941 0.004523 0.007343 0.012563 0.024153
2026-02-08 0.001345 0.001943 0.002866 0.004476 0.007412 0.013001 0.025905
2026-02-15 0.001275 0.001859 0.002771 0.004387 0.007391 0.013258 0.027293
2026-02-22 0.001238 0.001824 0.002754 0.004432 0.007627 0.014064 0.030155
2026-03-01 0.001220 0.001819 0.002784 0.004563 0.008040 0.015297 0.034380
2026-03-08 0.001168 0.001756 0.002714 0.004504 0.008071 0.015700 0.036511
2026-03-15 0.001114 0.001686 0.002629 0.004411 0.008022 0.015920 0.038185
2026-03-22 0.001072 0.001635 0.002571 0.004366 0.008068 0.016362 0.040612
2026-03-29 0.001044 0.001606 0.002552 0.004394 0.008270 0.017203 0.044467
2026-04-05 0.001005 0.001556 0.002492 0.004336 0.008282 0.017581 0.046964